A New Way to Method for Determining Value of Shale Acreage and Value of Operating Companies1 Credit Suisse recently developed an algorithm nicknamed “SAM” to analyze large amounts of data from shale production. This tool assesses the value of the shale mineral acreage and of operating companies for those fields.  Credit Suisse claims their SAM…

Drilling Rigs’ Day Rates Pricing According to a recent Bank of America Merrill Lynch research report,1 “High-spec” day rates have remained flat for two months.  The term “High-spec” refers to rigs with powerful top drives, hoisting systems and pumps.  According to industry sources, rigs with larger (+1,000) horsepower ratings account for an estimated 60 percent…

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One of the Reasons That Oil’s Price Recovery Has Stalled Over the long-term, US active drilling rig counts and oil prices have moved reasonably in sync.  As shown below, over the last ten years, there has been a high degree of correlation, as basic economics would suggest. Recently, however, this relationship has reversed, at least…

Recent ISIS Threats to OPEC On June 7th, armed assailants in Tehran attacked both the Parliament building and the tomb of its revolutionary founder.  These attacks were the worst to hit the Islamic Republic in years, shattering Iran’s self-proclaimed image of calm in a turbulent region. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps blamed both Saudi Arabia…

Future Oil Usage to Join Cigarette Smoking? The growth in demand growth for oil and gas has been curbing within developed nations for several years. Developments in greener energy sources and increased efficiency of energy-thirsty products like vehicles and cell phones have offset the increase in demand driven by population usage growth.  Similar to cigarette…

Natural Gas Up Over 25% Since February 1, Wells Fargo Forecasting $3.40/MMBtu A recent research report by Wells Fargo Securities calls for tightening supply/demand fundamentals, providing further support to their natural gas price forecast of $3.40/MMBtu on average for the remainder of 2017, which is 9% above consensus estimates and highest on the Street.1 The report…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook March 2017 Oil Prices Hopefully Beginning Recovery from an $8.00 per Barrel Decline Until last week, crude oil prices had been trading within a $2.00 to $3.00 daily range and trending upward.  However, investors were alarmed in early March when data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed a big…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook February 2017 Rising Interest Rates’ Effect on Master Limited Partnerships Oil and gas MLPs (“Master Limited Partnerships”) are publicly traded limited partnerships.  MLPs are most commonly present in the energy industry, providing and managing resources such as oil and gas pipelines.  These types of business endeavors are conducive to producing…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook January 2017 2016 Price Review and Looking Forward to 2017 As is popular this time of year, we wanted to do a quick review of the range of prices suggested by the strip price and the options markets as of the beginning of last year (2016). – Oil & Gas…

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