As a follow up to our more comprehensive 2017 paper and 2018 paper, this paper will strictly focus on the historical and current relationship between the S&P 500 P/E Ratio and US Interest Rates, updated to November 2022. The P/E ratio can be described as the ratio between current share price and per-share earnings. Earnings…
During the second quarter of 2019, the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.0% over the prior quarter. Household spending has been a primary driver of growth, and the economy continues to perform strongly despite slowing global growth and headwinds from trade disputes. Overview of the U.S. Economy According to the third estimate…
U.S. Economic Report – December 31, 2018 Economic Overview Fourth Quarter 2018 During the third quarter of 2018, the U.S. economy grew at 3.4% over the prior quarter. Despite recent turmoil in equities markets, economic indicators point toward continued economic growth. Overview of the U.S. Economy According to the third estimate released by the Bureau…
The Relationship Between S&P 500 Returns, Earnings Growth, P/E Expansion, and Interest Rates The S&P 500 increased from 2,789.80 on January 1, 2018 to 2,924.59 on October 1, 2018, a year-to-date return of 4.83%. As shown in the graph below, this return was fueled by a solid increase in earnings of 9.20% but was partially…
U.S. Economic Report – September 30, 2018 Economic Overview – Third Quarter 2018 During the second quarter of 2018, the U.S. economy grew at a feverish 4.2% over the prior quarter. Economic indicators point toward continued economic growth. Overview of the U.S. Economy According to the third estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis…
Overview of the U.S. Economy Economic Overview – First Quarter 2018 According to the third estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the U.S. economy grew in the fourth quarter of 2017, with real gross domestic product (GDP) increasing at an annual rate of 2.9%, following a third quarter increase of 3.2%. The…
Tesla SolarCity Valuation Error What’s a $400 Million Valuation Error Between Friends? The Issue Lazard, the investment bank that advised SolarCity on its $2.6 billion sale to Tesla Motors, made an error in its analysis that discounted the value of the U.S. solar energy company by $400 million, according to a regulatory filing by Tesla.1…
Valuing Complex Derivative Securities Even though private equity fund managers are in the business of sourcing and investing daunting amounts of money into a variety of private companies, their mindset often resembles that of the businesses in which they invest. In their 2015 Annual US PE Fund breakdown, Pitchbook identified the average size of a…
Private Equity Fund Managers Small Business Owners? Even though private equity fund managers are in the business of sourcing and investing daunting amounts of money into a variety of private companies, their mindset often resembles that of the businesses in which they invest. In their 2015 Annual US PE Fund breakdown, Pitchbook identified the average…
Several quarters remain before bankruptcy attorneys return to high employment. However, weakness in specific sectors should provide an increased flow of near term bankruptcy activity.