Oil & Gas Price Outlook May 2016 Market Capitalization’s Impact on MLP Yields and Multiples Investors and valuation experts have long debated the general magnitude (and even the existence) of a “small stock risk premium” and its effect on market values.  Small stock risk implies simply that investors expect a higher rate of return for…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook April 2016 If PUDs are “free,” we may be a buyer at that price! As E&P companies are releasing their year-end 2015 financials, they all show significant write-offs for the value of their Proved Undeveloped Properties, or “PUDs.” These are driven by their independent engineer’s calculations that many of their…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook March 2016 It can actually go up … For the last few months, oil prices have been continually testing the lower price ranges reflected in the futures and options markets. Although February’s pricing reflected a two-sided market, the general trend reflected an increase in oil prices to a level of…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook February 2016 A wild ride to expected values! In our January blog, we showed that futures markets predicted a one-standard deviation range (68% probability) for oil prices was expected to be approximately $33 – $39 per barrel as of month end. The day after we published, oil prices began falling…

Happy New Year! Oil & Gas Price Outlook January 2016 After enduring a 32% drop in crude oil prices and a 35% drop in natural gas prices in 2015, this next year has to improve… doesn’t it?? While futures markets aren’t a crystal ball, with a little bit of statistical analysis, they can tell us…

Oil & Gas Price Outlook December 2015 Don’t rely upon Wall Street soothsayers — if you want to predict the future of oil & gas prices, rely on probabilities and not a crystal ball. For instance, Goldman Sachs recently made headlines when an analyst noted that $20 oil was possible next year. Analysts can run…

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