The Return of EA Sports College Football Video Game

The Return Of Ea Sports College Football Video Game

This week marks the return of the Electronic Arts (NasdaqGS:EA) college football franchise for the first time in 11 years.  The video game originated in 1993 as Bill Walsh College Football (the former head coach of Stanford University and three time Super Bowl champion with the San Francisco 49ers) but changed its label to College Football USA and then to NCAA Football.  The franchise ended after NCAA Football ’14 (released in summer 2013) because of legal disputes regarding the usage of name, image and likeness (NIL) of the players and violation of the Sherman Antitrust Act. 

The legal issues began in May 2009 with an NIL lawsuit filed by former Nebraska football player Sam Keller against EA.  Former UCLA basketball star Ed O’Bannon filed a similar lawsuit.  In January 2010, U.S. District Court of Northern California Judge Claudia Wilken granted a motion to consolidate several cases against EA, the NCAA, and the Collegiate Licensing Company.  In August 2012, O’Bannon filed a motion to include current student athletes and to allocate proceeds from NCAA football and basketball video games into trusts with the proceeds paid at the end of their eligibility.  The legal battle continued to a point where the NCAA and its major conferences did not renew its licensing deals and the franchise ended.

In early February 2021, EA Sports teased the return of its popular college football franchise, although acceptance by all major schools was not universal, citing uncertainty with ongoing legal concerns regarding NIL for players.  Although the Alston decision by the U.S. Supreme Court in late June 2021 was a narrow ruling regarding educational-related benefits to student athletes, the Court signaled an end to the practice of NCAA prohibiting compensation for NIL.  Just days later, on July 1, 2021, the NCAA officially allowed student athletes to profit off their NIL.  EA Sports announced in 2023 that NIL would be a part of the next college football video game. 

EA Sports will pay each player $600 plus a copy of the video game.  Certain players have or will receive more compensation to help promote the game.  Individual schools will be paid by tiers according to their finish in the Associated Press rankings over a ten year period through the 2023 season.  13 schools in Tier 1 will receive a minimum payout just under $100,000.  Tier 2 schools will receive approximately $60,000, Tier 3 will receive $40,000, and Tier 4 will receive $10,000. The renewed version of the game, College Football 25 is expected to sell more than 3 million copies, perhaps outpacing the popular Madden NFL series for this cycle.

The release of EA Sports College Football 25 is available on the latest generation of PlayStation and X Box game consoles.  The standard version is priced at $69.99 and is accessible starting 12am on Friday, July 19thThe Deluxe version for $99.00 or $149.99 bundle with the next edition of video game Madden will grant early access, perhaps as early as 4pm EST this afternoon.  EA reported annual revenue of $7.6 billion and EBITDA of $2 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2024.  Capital IQ estimates EA’s EBITDA margin to increase from the mid 20 percent over the last three years to mid 30 percent over the next three fiscal years.

Is it Time to Change the Name of the Most Valuable Player Award?

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Is it Time to Change the Name of the Most Valuable Player Award?

Is the Most Valuable Player really that?  Or, is he the Best Player?  Or, is that the same thing? 

The answer might not be as obvious as you think.

Consider the NFL as one of the better proxies for analysis, in part because of the hard salary cap.  The MVP is usually awarded to the player that does well personally (i.e. has some of the best stats like quarterback (QB) rating, total touchdown passes and touchdown/interception ratio, total rushing yards, etc.) and helps carry their team to wins and playoff berths.  You would think that those in consideration for the award are some of the highest paid players in the NFL.  Since they are often quarterbacks, let’s take a closer look.

It turns out of the 32 starting QBs, 12 make single digit annual salaries (yes, in the single digit millions) and 20 make double digit salaries (the vast majority over $20 million).  One would expect the MVP is most likely to come from the pool of 20 since there must logically be a correlation of salary to performance, and in turn team success.

In fact, of the 12 teams that made the playoffs this year, 6 QBs made single digit salaries and 6 made double digit salaries.  So, while 30% of the highly paid QBs made the playoffs, 50% of the lower paid guys got in.  The average salary of QBs who made the playoffs was $12.7 million, while the average salary for those that did not was $18.3 million.1

Further analysis shows that there is a negative correlation between salary and playoff seeding.  That is, some of the highest seeded teams (normally with the most wins) are the Chiefs (Mahomes), Texans (Watson), Rams (Goff), Bears (Trubisky).  In fact, the top 6 highest paid QBs are not in the playoffs at all (Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan, Kirk Cousins, Jimmy Garoppolo, Matthew Stafford, Derek Carr).

What’s the explanation?  In the era of the salary cap, being in the first four-year contract period (Prescott, Mahomes, Watson, Goff, Trubisky, Jackson), or taking a discount (Brees, Brady, Rivers, Wilson, Luck make $20 to 25 million) saves cap room to pay other good players, thus making the team better and, arguably, the QB more valuable.

When looking at salary relative to production, the difference is stark.  This year, Rodgers earned $1.3 million per passing touchdown thrown, while Prescott earned just $30 thousand.  In terms of salary per win, Rodgers was paid 82 times that of Prescott.

The point is value has to be considered in the context of cost (i.e. salary), as does the value of anything!  The more the cost, the less valuable, all other things equal.  Therefore, while good QBs might make more, they might be less valuable, or at least no more valuable than cheaper QBs. 

It turns out that maybe the most valuable quarterback is not the “best” (all other things equal) and/or highly paid so long as their lower salary helps create better play and wins, which apparently it does.  Sorry, Aaron Rodgers.

Nfl Mvp

1. Lamar Jackson and Nick Foles were utilized as the QB for their respective playoff teams.

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Marty Hanan is the founder and President of ValueScope, Inc., a valuation and financial advisory firm that specializes in valuing assets and businesses and in helping business owners in business transactions and estate planning.  Mr. Hanan is a Chartered Financial Analyst and has a B.S. Electrical Engineering from the University of Illinois and an MBA from Loyola University of Chicago.

 

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